30th Sep. Spanish La Liga---Valencia VS Real Oviedo Prediction
Spanish La Liga - Valencia VS Real Oviedo
Match Time:01-10-2025 02:00 Wednesday (GMT+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips
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Team Reviews
Valencia CF are entering this La Liga Matchday 7 clash at Estadio de Mestalla on September 30, 2025, in decent form, sitting 12th with 8 points from six matches (2 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses). Their recent form shows two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five league matches, including a 2-2 draw at Espanyol and a 2-0 win over Athletic Bilbao. They’ve scored eight goals and conceded nine, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game. At home, Valencia are unbeaten in two league games (3-0 vs. Getafe, 1-1 vs. Real Sociedad), with goalkeeper Giorgi Mamardashvili keeping one clean sheet. Coach Carlos Corberan’s 4-4-2 relies on Hugo Duro’s finishing (three goals) and Arnaut Danjuma’s flair (two goals). No major injuries are reported, but Javi Guerra is pushing for a start. Valencia will leverage their home crowd to dominate possession and exploit Oviedo’s defensive frailties, aiming to extend their unbeaten run against them since 1997.
Real Oviedo are struggling, sitting 19th with 3 points from six matches (1 win, 0 draws, 5 losses). Their recent form includes one win and four losses in their last five league matches, with a 3-1 loss to Barcelona on September 25, 2025, and a 1-0 win over Real Sociedad. They’ve scored two goals and conceded 11, averaging 0.3 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game. Away form is dismal, with no wins in three road games (all losses). Coach Veljko Paunovic’s 4-2-3-1 depends on Leander Dendoncker’s finishing (one goal) and Santi Cazorla’s experience. Injuries to Nacho Vidal (unspecified), Álvaro Lemos (unspecified), and doubts over David Costas and Ovie Ejaria weaken their squad, but Federico Viñas is available. Oviedo will aim to stay compact and counter Valencia’s pressure, seeking their first away win since December 1988 against Valencia.
Head to Head
d to HeadValencia hold a strong historical edge, winning 43 of 90 meetings with Oviedo (24 draws, 23 Oviedo wins), as per the sports card above. Recent clashes include a 0-0 draw in April 2001 and a 1-0 Valencia win in December 2000. At Mestalla, Valencia are unbeaten in their last 12 home games against Oviedo (nine wins, three draws), with a 3-0 win in 1993 and an 8-1 rout in 1965. Matches average 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 40% of recent encounters, suggesting a potentially low-scoring game. Valencia’s unbeaten streak against Oviedo since January 1997 gives them a psychological advantage, but Oviedo’s 1-0 upset over Sociedad shows they can surprise.
Prediction
Valencia’s home strength and historical dominance make them clear favorites against an Oviedo side with one win and a poor away record. I predict a 2-0 Valencia win, with Duro or Danjuma scoring, and Oviedo struggling to breach Valencia’s defense. Valencia’s win probability is around 60%, reflecting their 2-0 Athletic win and Oviedo’s 3-1 Barcelona loss. Expect Valencia to dominate possession (around 55%) and corners (7-9 projected), with Oviedo’s counters limited by their injury-hit squad. The game should see Valencia’s attack overwhelm Oviedo’s defense, securing three points to climb the La Liga table.
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