30th Sep. UEFA Champions League---Chelsea VS Benfica Prediction

UEFA Champions League - Chelsea VS Benfica
Match Time:01-10-2025 03:00 Wednesday (GMT+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips
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Team Reviews
Chelsea are entering this UEFA Champions League Matchday 2 clash at Stamford Bridge in a tough position, sitting low in the league phase with 0 points from one match (0 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss). Their recent form shows one win, one draw, and three losses in their last five competitive matches, scoring one goal and conceding three in the Champions League, averaging 1.0 goal scored and 3.0 conceded per game. At home, Chelsea have won two of three domestic games, but their goalkeeper has struggled to keep clean sheets recently. The coach’s 4-2-3-1 relies on a key attacking midfielder’s creativity and a winger’s flair. Multiple injuries to a goalkeeper, two defenders, two midfielders, a striker, and doubts over three others severely weaken their squad. Chelsea will leverage their home crowd to counter Benfica’s attack, aiming to revive their European campaign.
Benfica are also struggling, sitting low with 0 points from one match (0 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss). Their recent form includes two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five, scoring two goals and conceding three in the Champions League, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 3.0 conceded per game. In their domestic league, they are competitive, sitting high with strong attacking output. Away form is solid, with clean sheets in most recent European road games. The coach’s 4-2-3-1 depends on a forward’s finishing and a midfielder’s assists. One key winger is injured, but a key defender is available. Benfica will aim to exploit Chelsea’s depleted squad and defensive issues, seeking their first European win this season.
Head to Head
Chelsea lead the historical record, winning all five previous meetings with Benfica, including a 4-1 extra-time win in a recent club competition and a 2-1 home win in a 2012 Champions League quarter-final. At Stamford Bridge, Chelsea are unbeaten against Benfica. Matches average 3.0 goals, with both teams scoring in most encounters, suggesting a high-scoring game. Chelsea’s perfect record gives them a psychological edge, but Benfica’s away defensive solidity makes this a closer contest.
Prediction
Chelsea’s injury crisis and recent European struggles make them vulnerable, but their home form and historical dominance over Benfica keep them in contention. Benfica’s attacking threat balances Chelsea’s home advantage. I predict a 2-2 draw, with a Chelsea winger or midfielder scoring and a Benfica forward or midfielder replying. The draw probability is around 35%, reflecting both teams’ recent European losses. Expect balanced possession (around 50% each) and corners (6-8 each), with both teams’ attacks exploiting defensive gaps. The game should be open, with Chelsea’s home crowd pushing them to a hard-fought point.
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