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8th Oct. Brazil Serie B---Cuiaba VS Gremio Novorizontino Prediction

8th Oct. Brazil Serie B---Cuiaba VS Gremio Novorizontino Prediction
Brazil Serie B  -  Cuiaba VS Gremio Novorizontino
Match Time:09-10-2025 06:00 Thursday (GMT+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips

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Team Reviews
Cuiabá are entering this Brazil Serie B Matchday 26 clash at Arena Pantanal on October 8, 2025, in solid form, sitting 7th with 35 points from 25 matches (9 wins, 8 draws, 8 losses). Their recent form shows three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five league matches, including a 2-1 win over Athletic Club on September 28, 2025, and a 1-0 win against CRB. They’ve scored 31 goals and conceded 27, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per game. At home, Cuiabá are unbeaten in their last four league games (three wins, one draw), with goalkeeper Walter keeping two clean sheets recently. Coach Márcio Goiano’s 4-2-3-1 relies on Mateusinho’s flair (three goals, two assists) and Denilson’s energy (five yellow cards). No major injuries are reported, but Jean Irmer’s red card in their last meeting could impact discipline. Cuiabá will leverage their home crowd to control possession and exploit Novorizontino’s inconsistent away form, aiming to climb closer to the promotion spots.

Grêmio Novorizontino are in strong form, sitting 6th with 37 points from 25 matches (10 wins, 7 draws, 8 losses). Their recent form includes two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five league matches, with a 2-1 loss to Criciúma on September 24, 2025, and a 2-1 win at Coritiba. They’ve scored 29 goals and conceded 23, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per game. Away form is decent, with three wins in their last five road games. Coach Eduardo Baptista’s 4-2-3-1 depends on Nathan Fogaça’s finishing (five goals) and Luís Oyama’s assists (three). Renato Palm’s cruciate ligament injury is a blow, but César Martins is available. Novorizontino will aim to stay compact and counter Cuiabá’s attack, seeking to repeat their 3-0 home win over Cuiabá on June 15, 2025.

Head to Head
Cuiabá and Grêmio Novorizontino have met once this season, with Novorizontino winning 3-0 at home on June 15, 2025, at Estádio Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biasi, where Cuiabá’s Jean Irmer was sent off. Historically, their matchups are limited, but Novorizontino’s recent victory gives them a slight edge. Matches average 2.0 goals, with both teams scoring in 40% of encounters, suggesting a potentially tight game. Cuiabá’s home strength (1.4 goals scored per game) contrasts with Novorizontino’s solid away defense (0.6 goals conceded per game in recent matches), setting up a balanced contest.

Prediction
Cuiabá’s home form and attacking consistency make them slight favorites, but Novorizontino’s defensive resilience and prior 3-0 win add intrigue. I predict a 1-1 draw, with Mateusinho scoring for Cuiabá and Fogaça or Pablo Dyego replying for Novorizontino. The draw probability is around 35%, reflecting Cuiabá’s 2-1 Athletic Club win and Novorizontino’s 2-1 Coritiba victory. Expect balanced possession (around 50% each) and corners (6-7 each), with both teams’ counters creating chances. The game should see Cuiabá push early, but Novorizontino’s organization secures a point in a promotion race battle.
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