8th Oct. Brazil Serie A---Mirassol VS Fluminense RJ Prediction
Brazil Serie A - Mirassol VS Fluminense RJ
Match Time:09-10-2025 08:00 Thursday (GMT+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips
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Team Reviews
Mirassol are entering this Brazil Serie A Matchday 27 clash at Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia on October 9, 2025, in decent form, sitting 4th with 43 points from 26 matches (12 wins, 7 draws, 7 losses). Their recent form shows one win, one draw, and three losses in their last five league matches, including a 1-0 loss at Atlético Mineiro on September 27, 2025, and a 2-0 win over Juventude. They’ve scored 39 goals and conceded 28, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per game. At home, Mirassol are unbeaten in 12 league games (seven wins, five draws), with goalkeeper Alex Muralha keeping multiple clean sheets. Coach Mozart’s 4-2-3-1 relies on Reinaldo’s finishing (nine goals) and Gabriel’s assists (seven). No major injuries are reported, but discipline is a concern after recent cards. Mirassol will leverage their home crowd to press Fluminense, aiming to regain momentum in their push for a Copa Libertadores spot.
Fluminense RJ are in strong form, sitting 7th with 38 points from 25 matches (11 wins, 5 draws, 9 losses). Their recent form includes three wins and two draws in their last five league matches, with a 3-0 win over Atlético Mineiro on October 4, 2025, and a 2-0 victory against Botafogo RJ. They’ve scored 36 goals and conceded 30, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game. Away form is solid, with three wins in their last five road games. Coach Luis Zubeldía’s 4-2-3-1 depends on Panagiotis Andreou’s finishing (14 goals) and Serna Jaramillo’s flair (seven goals). Injuries to Nonato and Ganso (both recovering) and Kevin Serna’s suspension (yellow card accumulation) are concerns, but Germán Cano is available. Fluminense will aim to maintain their attacking edge and counter Mirassol’s home strength, targeting a top-four finish.
Head to Head
This is the first Serie A meeting between Mirassol and Fluminense, with no prior head-to-head data in the top flight. Mirassol, in their debut Serie A season, have shown resilience against established sides, while Fluminense’s experience gives them an edge. Matches involving Mirassol average 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 54% of their games, while Fluminense’s games average 2.6 goals, with 38% over 2.5 goals, suggesting a potentially open contest. Mirassol’s unbeaten home record (90.9% of home games over 1.5 goals) contrasts with Fluminense’s 66.7% away games over 1.5 goals, setting up a balanced encounter.
Prediction
Mirassol’s unbeaten home record and Fluminense’s strong recent form make this a close contest, but Fluminense’s attacking depth and experience tilt the scales. I predict a 2-1 Fluminense win, with Andreou or Cano scoring, and Reinaldo replying for Mirassol. Fluminense’s win probability is around 45%, reflecting their 3-0 Atlético win and Mirassol’s 1-0 Atlético loss. Expect Mirassol to edge possession (around 52%) and corners (6-8 projected), but Fluminense’s clinical counters should secure the points. The game should see both teams create chances, with Fluminense capitalizing to keep their Libertadores chase alive.
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