10th Oct. Indonesia Liga 2---PSPS Pekanbaru VS Sriwijaya FC Prediction

Indonesia Liga 2 - PSPS Pekanbaru VS Sriwijaya FC
Match Time:10-10-2025 16:30 Friday (GMT+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips
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Team Reviews
PSPS Pekanbaru are entering this Indonesia Liga 2 (Championship 2025/2026, Group 1) Matchday 5 clash at Stadion Kaharuddin Nasution, Pekanbaru, on October 10, 2025, in desperate need of a win, sitting 10th in Group 1 with 2 points from four matches (0 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses). Their recent form shows two draws and two losses in their last four league matches: a 3-3 draw with PSMS Medan on September 20, 2025, and a 2-2 draw against Garudayaksa FC on September 29, after losses to Persiraja (0-1) and Persikad Depok (1-0). They’ve scored 5 goals and conceded 7, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game. At home, PSPS are winless in their last three (one draw, two losses), with goalkeeper Jandia struggling for clean sheets. Caretaker coach Ibnu Grahan’s 4-2-3-1 relies on Jhon Mena’s finishing and Omid Popalzay’s creativity. No major injuries are reported, but the absence of Erlangga Setyo (called up for U-23 SEA Games prep) is a blow. PSPS will leverage their fanatical “Askar The King” supporters to pressure Sriwijaya, aiming for their first win to climb out of the relegation zone.
Sriwijaya FC are in even worse shape, sitting 9th in Group 1 with 1 point from four matches (0 wins, 1 draw, 3 losses). Their recent form includes a 3-1 loss to PSMS Medan on October 4, 2025, a 3-2 loss to Persiraja on September 27, and a 3-3 draw with Persikad Depok. They’ve scored 6 goals and conceded 10, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 2.5 conceded per game. Away form is poor, with no wins in three road games. Coach Achmad Zulkifli’s 4-2-3-1 depends on Meghon Valpoort’s finishing (one goal) and Manda Cingi’s leadership. No major injuries are reported, but fan pressure for a coaching change adds tension. Sriwijaya will aim to stay compact and counter PSPS’s attack, seeking their first win to escape the Group 1 basement and revive their promotion hopes.
Head to Head
PSPS Pekanbaru and Sriwijaya FC have a heated rivalry, with four recent meetings since 2023: Sriwijaya lead with three wins to PSPS’s one. Their latest clash was a 3-2 Sriwijaya victory on December 14, 2024, in Palembang, where Valpoort and Cingi scored. PSPS’s sole win was a 2-1 result in 2023. Matches average 3.5 goals, with both teams scoring in three of four encounters, suggesting a high-scoring game. PSPS’s 3-3 PSMS draw and Sriwijaya’s 3-1 PSMS loss highlight their defensive struggles, but Sriwijaya’s recent head-to-head edge gives them confidence despite their away woes.
Prediction
Both teams are desperate for points, with PSPS’s home support and Sriwijaya’s attacking threat setting up a tight contest. PSPS’s winless run and Sriwijaya’s three-game losing streak point to defensive frailties (both conceding 2.5 goals per game). I predict a 2-2 draw, with Mena scoring for PSPS and Valpoort or Cingi replying for Sriwijaya. The draw probability is around 35%, reflecting PSPS’s 2-2 Garudayaksa draw and Sriwijaya’s 3-3 Persikad draw. Expect balanced possession (around 50%) and corners (6-8 each), with both teams’ attacks exploiting weak defenses. The game should be intense, with PSPS’s “Askar The King” crowd pushing for a breakthrough, but Sriwijaya’s resilience securing a point in this Sumatran derby.
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