10th Oct. Argentine Division 1---San Lorenzo VS San Martin San Juan Prediction
Argentine Division 1 - San Lorenzo VS San Martin San Juan
Match Time:11-10-2025 01:30 Saturday (GMT+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips
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Team Reviews
San Lorenzo are entering this Argentine Primera División (Torneo Clausura 2025, Group B, Matchday 12) clash at Estadio Pedro Bidegain, Buenos Aires, on October 10, 2025, in inconsistent form, sitting 6th in Group B with 16 points from 11 matches (4 wins, 4 draws, 3 losses). Their recent form shows one win, two draws, and two losses in their last five league matches, including a 2-0 win over Godoy Cruz on September 27, 2025, and a 2-1 loss to Lanús. They’ve scored 8 goals and conceded 7, averaging 0.7 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game. At home, San Lorenzo are unbeaten in five Clausura matches (three wins, two draws), with no goals conceded against Godoy Cruz, Huracán, Instituto, Vélez, and Gimnasia. Coach Damián Ayude’s 4-2-3-1 relies on Alexis Cuello’s flair (three goals) and Gastón Hernández’s defensive solidity (one goal). No major injuries are reported, but institutional issues off the pitch add pressure. San Lorenzo will leverage their fanatical “Ciclón” crowd to maintain their home defensive record, aiming for a playoff spot.
San Martín San Juan are in dire straits, sitting last in the annual table with 20 points from 27 matches (4 wins, 8 draws, 15 losses) and bottom of the averages table, facing relegation. Their recent form includes two draws and three losses in their last five league matches, with a 0-0 draw against Instituto on October 4, 2025, and a 2-2 draw with Platense. They’ve scored 12 goals and conceded 29, averaging 0.4 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per game. Away form is abysmal, with no wins in 2025 and only one goal scored in their last seven road games. Coach Leandro Romagnoli’s 4-2-3-1 depends on Ignacio Maestro Puch’s runs and Horacio Tijanovich’s finishing (two goals). No major injuries are reported, but Romagnoli’s job is at risk. San Martín will focus on defensive compactness, hoping to counter and avoid a loss that could seal their relegation fate.
Head to Head
San Lorenzo dominate the historical record, winning 10 of 15 meetings with San Martín San Juan since 2007 (three draws, two San Martín wins). Their most recent clash was a 1-0 San Lorenzo win on April 4, 2025, in San Juan, with Ezequiel Cerutti scoring. At the Nuevo Gasómetro, San Lorenzo won 3-1 in 2012. Matches average 2.4 goals, with both teams scoring in 40% of encounters, suggesting a potentially low-scoring game. San Lorenzo’s 1-0 win earlier this season and San Martín’s 0-0 Instituto draw highlight San Lorenzo’s edge, but San Martín’s desperation could make it close.
Prediction
San Lorenzo’s unbeaten home record (no goals conceded in five Clausura home games) and historical dominance make them favorites against a San Martín side with no away wins and minimal scoring threat (0.4 goals per game). I predict a 1-0 San Lorenzo win, with Cuello or Cerutti scoring, and San Martín unable to breach San Lorenzo’s defense. San Lorenzo’s win probability is around 55%, reflecting their 2-0 Godoy Cruz win and San Martín’s 0-0 Instituto draw. Expect San Lorenzo to control possession (around 53%) and corners (6-8), with San Martín’s counters limited by their offensive struggles. The game should be tight, with San Lorenzo’s defensive solidity securing three points to boost their playoff chances, while San Martín’s relegation looms closer.
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