11th Oct. FIFA World Cup qualification (UEFA)---Hungary VS Armenia Prediction

FIFA World Cup qualification (UEFA) - Hungary VS Armenia
Match Time:12-10-2025 00:00 Sunday (GMT+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips
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Team Reviews
Hungary are entering this FIFA World Cup 2026 Qualification UEFA Group F Matchday 3 clash at Puskás Aréna, Budapest, on October 11, 2025, under pressure, sitting 3rd in Group F with 1 point from two matches (0 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss). Their recent form shows a 2-2 draw against Republic of Ireland on September 6, 2025, and a 2-3 loss to Portugal on September 9, where Barnabás Varga scored twice but João Cancelo’s late goal sealed Hungary’s defeat. They’ve scored 4 goals and conceded 5, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 2.5 conceded per game. At home, Hungary are unbeaten in their last three competitive matches (two wins, one draw), with goalkeeper Péter Szappanos keeping one clean sheet. Coach Marco Rossi’s 4-2-3-1 relies on Dominik Szoboszlai’s creativity (captain) and Varga’s finishing (two goals). No major injuries are reported, but Milos Kerkez is doubtful (minor knock). Hungary will leverage their vocal home crowd to press Armenia, aiming for their first win to revive their first World Cup qualification hopes since 1986.
Armenia are in high spirits, sitting 2nd in Group F with 3 points from two matches (1 win, 0 draws, 1 loss). Their recent form includes a 2-1 upset over Republic of Ireland on September 9, 2025, with Eduard Spertsyan’s penalty and Grant-Leon Ranos’ goal, but a 5-0 loss to Portugal. They’ve scored 2 goals and conceded 6, averaging 1.0 goal scored and 3.0 conceded per game. Away form is mixed, with one win in their last three competitive road games. Coach Iegishe Melikian’s 4-3-3 depends on Spertsyan’s flair and Ranos’ finishing. No major injuries are reported, but squad depth is limited (FIFA rank 105th). Armenia will focus on defensive compactness and counterattacks, aiming to replicate their Ireland upset and stay in the play-off race.
Head to Head
Hungary and Armenia have met once, a 2-0 Hungary win in a 2004 friendly, with no further competitive clashes. That game saw Hungary dominate possession, but Armenia’s defensive setup kept it close until late goals. Hungary’s 2-3 Portugal loss and Armenia’s 2-1 Ireland win suggest Armenia can challenge, but Hungary’s home form gives them an edge. Matches involving Hungary average 4.5 goals (100% over 2.5 goals), while Armenia’s average 4.0 (100% over 2.5 goals), indicating a potentially high-scoring game.
Prediction
Hungary’s home strength (unbeaten in three) and attacking output (2.0 goals per game) make them favorites against an Armenia side buoyed by their Ireland win but exposed defensively (5-0 Portugal loss). I predict a 2-1 Hungary win, with Szoboszlai or Varga scoring, and Spertsyan or Ranos replying for Armenia. Hungary’s win probability is around 55%, reflecting their 2-2 Ireland draw and Armenia’s 2-1 Ireland win. Expect Hungary to control possession (around 57%) and corners (7-9), with Armenia’s counters posing a threat. The game should be competitive, with Hungary’s home crowd and urgency securing three points to boost their Group F standing, while Armenia fight for a play-off spot.
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