9th Oct. FIFA World Cup qualification (UEFA)---Czech Republic VS Croatia Prediction
FIFA World Cup qualification (UEFA) - Czech Republic VS Croatia
Match Time:10-10-2025 02:45 Friday (GMT+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips
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Team Reviews
Czech Republic are entering this FIFA World Cup 2026 Qualification UEFA Group L Matchday 6 clash at Fortuna Arena, Prague, on October 9, 2025, in strong form, sitting joint-1st in Group L with 12 points from five matches (4 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss). Their recent form shows four wins and one loss in their last five qualifiers, including a 2-0 victory over Montenegro on September 6, 2025, and a 5-1 loss to Croatia on June 10, 2025. They’ve scored 11 goals and conceded six, averaging 2.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game. At home, the Czechs are unbeaten in their last three qualifiers (two wins, one draw), with goalkeeper Matej Kovář keeping three clean sheets. Coach Ivan Hašek’s 4-2-3-1 relies on Patrik Schick’s finishing (two goals) and Václav Černý’s flair (one goal). Injuries to Tomáš Souček (doubtful, muscle issue) and David Jurásek (ankle) are concerns, but Lukáš Provod is fit. The Czechs will leverage their home crowd to press Croatia, aiming to avenge their earlier defeat and take the group lead for direct World Cup qualification.
Croatia are also in excellent form, sitting joint-1st in Group L with 12 points from four matches (4 wins, 0 draws, 0 losses), having played one game fewer. Their recent form includes a 4-0 win over Montenegro on September 8, 2025, and a 5-1 thrashing of the Czech Republic in June 2025, where Andrej Kramarić scored twice. They’ve scored 17 goals and conceded one, averaging 4.3 goals scored and 0.3 conceded per game. Away form is solid, with two wins in two qualifiers, including a 7-0 rout of Gibraltar. Coach Zlatko Dalić’s 4-3-3 depends on Luka Modrić’s creativity (one goal, one assist vs. Czechia) and Ante Budimir’s finishing (one penalty goal). No major injuries are reported, but Ivan Perišić is doubtful (fitness concerns). Croatia will aim to dominate possession and exploit their attacking depth, seeking a fifth straight win to secure the group’s top spot.
Head to Head
Croatia lead the historical record, winning two of four meetings with the Czech Republic since 2011 (two draws, no Czech wins). Their most recent clash was a 5-1 Croatia victory on June 10, 2025, at Opus Arena, Osijek, with goals from Kramarić (42’, 75’), Modrić (62’ penalty), Perišić (68’), and Budimir (72’ penalty), while Tomáš Souček scored for the Czechs (58’). Matches average 4.5 goals, with both teams scoring in three of four encounters, suggesting a potentially high-scoring game. Croatia’s 11-match unbeaten home streak in World Cup qualifiers and the Czech Republic’s 1-1 home draw against Croatia in Euro 2016 indicate a competitive battle, but Croatia’s recent dominance gives them an edge.
Prediction
The Czech Republic’s home form and urgency to avenge their 5-1 loss make this a tight contest, but Croatia’s perfect record, attacking firepower (17 goals in four games), and one-game-in-hand advantage make them favorites. I predict a 2-1 Croatia win, with Kramarić or Budimir scoring, and Schick replying for the Czechs. Croatia’s win probability is around 50%, reflecting their 5-1 prior win and the Czechs’ 2-0 Montenegro victory. Expect Croatia to edge possession (around 53%) and corners (6-8 projected), with the Czechs’ high press creating chances. The game should be intense, with Croatia’s clinical attack securing three points to maintain their Group L lead, while the Czechs stay in the play-off race.
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