9th Oct. International Friendly---England VS Wales Prediction
International Friendly - England VS Wales
Match Time:10-10-2025 02:45 Friday (GMT+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips
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Team Reviews
England are entering this International Friendly at Wembley Stadium on October 9, 2025, in top form, leading their 2026 World Cup qualifying Group K with 15 points from five matches (5 wins, 0 draws, 0 losses). Their recent form includes a 5-0 demolition of Serbia on September 8, 2025, and a 2-0 win over Andorra, scoring seven goals without conceding. At Wembley, England are unbeaten in their last five matches across competitions, with goalkeeper Jordan Pickford keeping three clean sheets. Coach Thomas Tuchel’s 4-2-3-1 relies on Marcus Rashford’s finishing (two goals vs. Serbia) and Bukayo Saka’s flair (recently back from injury). Injuries to Harry Kane (knock), Reece James, Noni Madueke, Cole Palmer, Trent Alexander-Arnold, and Levi Colwill, plus omissions of Jude Bellingham, Phil Foden, and Jack Grealish, force experimentation, with Ollie Watkins likely leading the line and Nico O’Reilly potentially debuting. England will leverage their home crowd to dominate possession, aiming to extend their seven-game winning streak over Wales.
Wales are in competitive form, sitting 3rd in their World Cup qualifying Group J with 10 points from five matches (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss). Their recent form includes a 1-0 win over Kazakhstan on September 7, 2025, but a 4-3 loss to Belgium and a 1-0 friendly defeat to Canada. They’ve scored 15 goals in their last seven games, averaging 2.1 goals per game, but conceded in four of five qualifiers. Away form is shaky, with one win in their last six road games. Coach Craig Bellamy’s 4-3-3 depends on Kieffer Moore’s finishing (four goals in nine games) and Harry Wilson’s creativity (14 international goals). Injuries to Aaron Ramsey (unspecified) and Daniel James (ankle), with Cardiff’s Isaak Davies and Rubin Colwill called up, limit options. Wales will focus on staying compact ahead of their crucial Belgium qualifier, aiming to upset England for the first time since 1984.
Head to Head
England dominate the historical record, winning 69 of 104 meetings with Wales (21 draws, 14 Wales wins), including a 3-0 victory in the 2022 World Cup group stage (Rashford scoring twice, Foden once). England have won their last seven meetings, with Wales’ last victory a 1-0 win in 1984 at the British Home Championship. At Wembley, Wales’ only win in 24 post-WWII visits was a 1-0 result in 1977. Matches average 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring in only one of the last seven encounters, suggesting a potentially one-sided game. England’s 5-0 Serbia rout and Wales’ 1-0 Kazakhstan win highlight England’s edge, but Wales’ recent scoring form (six of seven games) adds intrigue.
Prediction
England’s perfect qualifying record, home dominance, and depth make them overwhelming favorites, despite injuries, while Wales’ focus on their upcoming Belgium qualifier may limit their intensity. I predict a 2-0 England win, with Watkins or Rashford scoring, and Wales struggling to breach England’s defense (no goals conceded in qualifiers). England’s win probability is around 70%, reflecting their 5-0 Serbia win and Wales’ 4-3 Belgium loss. Expect England to control possession (around 58%) and corners (8-10 projected), with Wales’ counters limited by England’s press. The game should see England’s quality prevail, securing a comfortable victory to continue Tuchel’s strong start.
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